Tiny Nick’s Gambling Picks 11/08

Tiny Nick's Gambling Picks 11/08 By Nick Hamaty - November 8, 2026 Locks NFL (1 Unit) 3-Team 7 Point Teaser (+120; Odds via Caesars) Dallas Cowboys/Indianapolis Colts Over (44.5): 12:00 PM CT on FOX I said before last week that I was done with my Cowboys this season, it’s too disgraceful to watch, and then they went and let Minshew Mania get reborn. I’d trust Jason Voorhees to babysit before I trusted this Dallas defense to do anything right, and that’s the biggest factor for liking an over with this team. Especially indoors like they are today, against another bad defense on a team that looks ready to have the season be over with. I expect the Cowboys offense to go full out in an effort to make themselves feel better about last week, but the Colts will get theirs against the worst defense in football to send this over an adjusted total. Denver Broncos @ Carolina Panthers (+9.5): 12:00 PM CT on CBS I’m taking Carolina in contests this week, since I like them to cover the spread and most likely get the win straight up since it’s such a short number. So I’d better like them catching 9.5 points which is a massive cushion to add for the situation here. The Broncos are off a hard-fought win over the Chiefs, making this a perfect letdown spot on the other side of the country. The Panthers also have a significant rest advantage coming off playing Thursday, and teams with a rest advantage are 27-10-1 ATS this season. When that team is at home, they have a 14-3 ATS record, so adding an extra 7 points to the equation is very attractive. The Broncos are the kings of the one-score game so I expect this to be tight, and I don’t see this getting out of hand by double digits. Las Vegas Raiders/San Francisco 49ers Over (44.5): 3:25 PM CT on FOX Raiders games have the most potential to get weird, as they have the best over record in the league and the highest plus/minus to the total. It really helps when they play an elite offense like this 49ers squad that leads the league in EPA per play, but Vegas has allowed 33.8 PPG their past 6 so opponent is mattering less and less. As banged up as San Fran is, they’ve had a bye week to get their backup receivers in sync and that should be enough to cut right through a bad defense. There’s no quit in this Raiders offense though, and they’re especially good at putting up points in garbage time, so this adjusted total should be easy to reach today. NFL Prop Picks (Odds via Fanduel) 0.75 Unit – Malik Nabers Over 71.5 Receiving Yards (-110) 0.75 Unit – Malik Nabers Over 5.5 Receptions (-110) 1 Unit – Chuba Hubbard Over 91.5 Rushing+Receiving Yards (-110) 1 Unit – Jonah Coleman Over 85.5 Rushing+Receiving Yards (-110) 0.5 Unit – Jahmyr Gibbs Alternate Over 4.5 Receptions (+110) 1 Unit – Sam LaPorta Over 49.5 Receiving Yards (-110) 0.25 Unit – Sam LaPorta Anytime TD (+180) 1 Unit – Greg Dulcich Over 40.5 Receiving Yards (-110) 0.5 Unit – Greg Dulcich Alternate Over 49.5 Receiving Yards (+135) 0.25 Unit – Greg Dulcich Alternate Over 59.5 Receiving Yards (+230) 0.5 Unit – Greg Dulcich Alternate Over 4.5 Receptions (+145) 0.25 Unit – Greg Dulcich Alternate Over 5.5 Receptions (+290) 0.25 Unit – Greg Dulcich Anytime TD (+300) 0.75 Unit – Quinshon Judkins Over 68.5 Rushing Yards (-110) 0.25 Unit – Quinshon Judkins Anytime TD (+115) 0.5 Unit – Chig Okonkwo Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (-110) 0.75 Unit – Javonte Williams Over 71.5 Rushing Yards (-110) 0.5 Unit – Seth McGowan Over 27.5 Rushing Yards (-110) 0.75 Unit – Ryan Flournoy Over 47.5 Receiving Yards (-110) 0.25 Unit – Ryan Flournoy Anytime TD (+195) 0.5 Unit – Josh Downs Over 43.5 Receiving Yards (-110) 0.25 Unit – Tank Dell Over 1.5 Receptions (+115) 0.75 Unit – Kirk Cousins Over 248.5 Passing Yards (-110) 0.75 Unit – Brock Purdy Over 243.5 Passing Yards (-110) 0.5 Unit – Brock Bowers Over 6.5 Receptions (-110) 0.5 Unit – George Kittle Over 68.5 Receiving Yards (-110) 0.75 Unit – Ashton Jeanty Over 4.5 Receptions (+100) 0.75 Unit – Ashton Jeanty Over 35.5 Receiving Yards (-110) 0.5 Unit – Colston Loveland Over 5.5 Receptions (-110) 0.5 Unit – Colston Loveland Over 53.5 Receiving Yards (-110) NBA (0.75 Unit) Ayo Dosunmu Over 18.5 Points (-110; Odds via Fanduel): 6:00 PM CT on DAZN-MIN The past four games have seen Ayo clear this number, with 23.3 points on average. Interestingly, they are the only four games where he’s cleared this number all season, and I think it’s due to one key factor. There’s a definite correlation between his minutes, workload, and volume increasing significantly the past four nights, and that’s been the driving factor. In the previous six games he was averaging 27.8 minutes and 10.7 field goal attempts, compared to four games of 37.0 minutes and 17.3 field goal attempts. So it’s no wonder that his scoring increased by 10.0 points per game, and continued usage like that against a bad Jazz defense will get him over this number again tonight. Bonus Bet (0.75 Unit): Jaden McDaniels Over 26.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists (-110; Odds via Fanduel) Jaden continues to contribute in all areas of the game, averaging 26.9 PRA on the season so this number makes some sense from that standpoint. But that’s bumped up to 28.8 PRA since Anthony Edwards went on the injured list, and I don’t think Utah has anyone to contain him since Markkanen, Nurkic, and Jaren Jackson are all out or questionable tonight. The Jazz have been giving up some big production games to opposing wings recently, and Jaden should be in a great position to capitalize on that bad defense. NBA (0.5 Unit Each) Darius Acuff Over 3.5 Made Three’s (+160) & Zach LaVine Over 3.5 Made Three’s (+190; Odds via Fanduel): 8:00 PM CT on League Pass Every night with Miami it’s just a three-point paradise, as this team continues to allow the most makes per game and the second-highest percentage. The Heat are allowing 2 more makes per game than the next worst defense, and it keeps resulting in alternate numbers cashing so that’s my approach here. Both Acuff and LaVine have heavy juice on their standard line of 2.5 makes, but both are worth going after in the alternate market considering who they face tonight. They’re the two highest-volume three-point shooters for Sacramento, and it’s backcourt players who torch Miami the most from deep. A game total of 237.5 suggests we’ll see plenty of possessions and opportunity for both Kings guards tonight, and I expect them to be firing away against such a soft matchup. Degenerates No degenerates today. Past 7 days Tiny Tracker: 22-41 (-8.40 Units) – Recommend: Tail With Extreme Caution Tiny Nick has been writing betting picks for Zone Coverage since 2020. Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are what he’s most confident in, while Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks . Nick Hamaty Nick Hamaty, an Iowa State graduate, specializes in sports betting and the Minnesota Twins. He is also a huge fan of Tony Romo and NAV. All Articles