Tiny Nick’s Gambling Picks 11/10

Tiny Nick's Gambling Picks 11/10 By Nick Hamaty - November 10, 2026 Locks NCAA Football (0.75 Unit) Ohio -1 @ Miami-OH (-110; Odds via BetMGM): 7:00 PM CT on ESPN2 This longstanding rivalry game has been dominated by Ohio in recent years, and I think they continue that dominance tonight. The Bobcats have won The Battle of the Bricks 15 of the past 20 years, and this team looks poised to cruise to a MAC title with a win tonight. Ohio is simply the superior team playing far better football, compared to a Miami-OH squad that keeps getting lucky against lesser competition. The RedHawks have skated by this season while facing several backup quarterbacks, yet they could still very easily be in the middle of a disastrous season as 3 of their 4 FBS wins have come by a total of 5 points. The string of backups ends here with Nick Poulos ready to run them over, as he’s far and away the most physical quarterback Miami-OH has seen all year and they struggle with mobile QB’s like him. The Bobcats should flex their red zone efficiency here against a weak defense, and I can definitely see why this line has flipped to Ohio’s side so I’ll back the visitor tonight. NBA (0.5 Unit) Darryn Peterson Alternate Over 2.5 Made Three’s (+145; Odds via Fanduel): 8:00 PM CT on League Pass There is nothing that I’ve seen yet that can dissuade me from backing three-point props against Miami, especially when I can get juicy returns like this. The pricing here is just insane, as Peterson’s standard line of over 1.5 made three’s is juiced to the moon at -195, yet this alt line is paying a big plus-money price. That makes little to no sense against the worst three-point defense in the league, even for a player like Peterson who has experienced some growing pains so far in the league. But the rookie is really the main piece of Utah’s offense right now with all their injuries, and has gone over this number in 5 of his past 7 games, so I think volume and bad defense can cash a juicy return here. NCAA Basketball (0.5 Unit) Florida State Team Total Under 78.5 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 5:00 PM CT on ESPN2 The good news for Florida State is that they get to be on their home floor for this in-state rivalry showdown. The bad news is that it probably won’t matter, as the best team in the country with its long and ferocious defense is not going to show any mercy. I like FSU and the direction they’re heading with Luke Loucks, but the success isn’t there yet against anything close to this level of competition and I think that bears out tonight. The Seminoles are an eerily similar team in their style and metrics early on this season to another in-state rival in Miami. That’s a Canes squad that was easily handled by Florida in the season opener, as the Gators held them to just 67 points. The problem here for FSU is trying to score inside as their three’s have not been dropping this season, and going into the trees Florida has down low will be extremely difficult. The Gators are just too good defensively, forcing difficult possessions and limiting transition looks, so I think they clamp down and make a statement against their rival tonight. NCAA Basketball (0.5 Unit) Bucknell/Virginia Over 149 (-110; Odds via Fanduel): 8:00 PM CT on ACC Network A blowout over should be in effect here as Virginia takes on one of the worst teams in the country. The Cavaliers are feeling themselves after running out Arkansas over the weekend in an impressive win, and this team is definitely stacked. It’s not your father’s Virginia team either, as Ryan Odom is not interested in pack line defense and the slowest pace imaginable. Quite the opposite actually, as UVA is averaging 92.3 PPG behind the country’s 11th-best adjusted offensive efficiency mark. They should absolutely shred this Bucknell defense that is 341st in adjusted defensive efficiency and had 96 put on them by Maryland. It only gets tougher for the Bison here, and UVA is likely to sniff triple digits tonight which puts this total well within reach. Bucknell is not good offensively, but they do have zero fear when it comes to hoisting three’s, and if some of those connect against a Virginia defense probably not putting in a full effort, they can do their part in getting this game over the total. NCAA Basketball (1 Unit) Northern Arizona/Arizona Over 156.5 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 8:00 PM CT on ESPN+ This shapes up as another blowout over as Arizona is laying 37 points to their in-state little brother. It’s easy to predict what we’ll get out of the Wildcats in this one, as they’re likely still in the mode of making early season statements that Tommy Lloyd is so accustomed to. They can name their score here against an NAU defense that’s ranked 356th in adjusted efficiency, while only having played teams outside the top-60 in adjusted offense. That ends here against an Arizona offense ranked 18th in adjusted efficiency, and is playing at their typical fast pace which will override NAU’s efforts to slow the tempo. But Arizona has some massive games on deck, and I’m not sure how focused they’ll be for this game, plus they might be pulling starters early which gives the Lumberjacks a chance to get garbage time points. If there’s one thing to worry about for UA it’s their perimeter defense, ranked 298th so far in three-point percentage allowed, and NAU loves to shoot the three so points can come that way. Regardless, this should be another of Arizona’s typical non-conference home wins that are the norm in the Lloyd era. Degenerates NCAA Basketball Queens/BYU Over 182.5 (-110; Odds via Caesars): 8:00 PM CT on ESPN+ This is an insane total for a college basketball game. Or, maybe not? Queens has been ridiculous to start this season, playing no defense in giving up 103.7 PPG which puts them 347th in adjusted defensive efficiency. Importantly, the only time they faced a power conference opponent, Oklahoma State dropped 118 points on them. Now they face another Big12 team in BYU tonight, who has no shame in running up the score as they just put 108 on Omaha last week. They also put 94 on Ohio State, so this offense is an elite unit right now and playing with a lot of tempo. That suits Queens just fine as the Royals love to run, which will help neutralize BYU’s size. If you could choose any two teams to clear a total this high, these two would have to be near the top of the list, and I’m going to take a nibble at this giant number. Past 7 days Tiny Tracker: 29-43 (-3.85 Units) – Recommend: Fade Tiny Nick has been writing betting picks for Zone Coverage since 2020. Every day he will offer his Locks and Degenerate picks. Locks are what he’s most confident in, while Degenerates are entertaining but riskier picks. Nick Hamaty Nick Hamaty, an Iowa State graduate, specializes in sports betting and the Minnesota Twins. He is also a huge fan of Tony Romo and NAV. All Articles